Friday, May 1, 2015

GE2015 Part Three

The one about Tactical Voting!  This was written before the latest TV Question Time

Before I get into the subject of voting tactically at this election, I need to pause so that I can summon up the courage to push that line.

In the meantime........, while the Conservatives continue to maintain a very slender lead over Labour, it is a cause of serious concern.  Labour appears to be heading for annihilation in Scotland and so if they are running an extremely close second (sometimes even in front) to the Tories, nationally, then this suggests that in the rest of the UK, they are doing reasonably well!  It can't be down to Welsh Labour dominance - there just aren't enough of the total electorate.

As said here , the current opinion poll position seems to defy logic given the major advances made by the country, under the Tories and their Lib Dem coalition partners, in the recent past.  Especially, when one considers the parlous state of the country's finances bequeathed by the last Labour government.

And so........Tactical voting.

I think that it is time, for the sake of the country to suck-it-up and vote tactically.

There is a wheel circulating (no pun intended) that shows which party to vote for in many constituencies, in Scotland.  This means Labour and Lib Dems putting their X against a Conservative candidate and Conservatives and Labour doing the same for Lib Dems.  The 'wheel' then advises for the non-specified seats to divert votes to Labour.   The 'wheel' looks at around 17 seats so if it was successful it would break the current Labour hegemony in Scotland but would leave them with a sizable 'rump' and, critically, would keep the SNP away from being a Westminster 'power-broker'

Embedded image permalink


This addresses what is needed in Scotland and I encourage any readers to strongly consider this and to work on other right-minded people to do likewise, for that country.

In England, the picture is somewhat more mixed and less straightforward.  I don't have a 'wheel' but here is my advice:

For the following constituencies, vote UKIP - Yes, Conservatives and Lib Dems and anyone else,, Vote UKIP in these constituencies.

Burnley
Cannock Chase
Clacton
Doncaster N
Dudley N
Great Grimsby
Heywood & Middleton
Plymouth Moor View
Redcar
Rother Valley
Rotherham
Thurrock
Walsall N


For the following constituencies, vote Lib Dems - Yes, Conservatives and UKIP and anyone else, Vote Lib Dems in these constituencies.

Bermondsey & Old Southwark
Birmingham Yardley
Bradford E
Brent Central
Bristol W
Cambridge
Cardiff Central
Carshalton & Wallington
Cheltenham
Colchester
Cornwall N
Eastbourne
Hornsey & Wood Green
Lewes
Manchester Withington
Sheffield Hallam
Sutton & Cheam
Thornbury and Yate

For the following constituencies, vote Conservative  - Yes, UKIPpers and Lib Dems and anyone else, Vote Conservative.  UKIPpers - If you want an EU referendum, you know it makes sense!


Amber Valley
Basildon S & Thurrock E
Bedford
Berwick upon Tweed
Birmingham Edgbaston
Blackpool N & Cleveleys
Boston and Skegness
Brecon and Radnorshire
Brentford & Isleworth
Brighton Kemptown
Brighton Pavilion
Bristol NW
Broxtowe
Bury North
Camborne & Redruth
Canmbridgeshire NE
Cardiff N
Carlisle
Carmarthen W and Pembroke S
Castle Point
Cheadle
Chester
Chippenham
Cleethorpes
Colne Valley
Corby
Crewe & Nantwich
Croydon Central
Derby N
Devon N
Dewsbury
Dorset Mid & Poole N
Dover
Dudley S
Ealing Central & Acton
Eastleigh
Elmet & Rothwell
Enfield N
Erewash
Finchley & Golders Green
Folkestone & Hythe
Gloucester 
Great Yarmouth
Halesowen & Rowley Regis
Halifax
Hampstead & Kilburn
Harlow
Harrogate & Knaresborough
Harrow E
Hastings & Rye
Hazel Grove
Hendon
High Peak
Hove
Ipswich
Kingston & Surbiton
Kingswood
Lancaster & Fleetwood
Lincoln
Loughborough
Milton Keynes South
Morecambe and Lunesdale
Morley and Outwood
Newark
Newton Abbot
Northampton N
Norwich North
Norwich South
Nuneaton
Oxford W & Abingdon
Pendle
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport
Portsmouth S
Pudsey
Rochester & Strood
Rossendale and Darwen
Sherwood
Solihull
Somerset North East
Somerton & Frome
South Ribble
southampton Itchen
Southport
St Austell & Newquay
St Ives
Stevenage
Stroud
Surrey SW
Swindon S
Taunton Deane
Telford
Thanet N
Thanet S
Torbay
Truro & Falmouth
Twickenham
Uxbridge and Ruislip S
Vale of Glamorgan
Warrington South
Warwick & Leamington
Warwickshire N
Watford
Waveney
Weaver Vale
Wells
Wirral S
Wirral W
Witney
Wolverhampton SW
Worcester
Wyre Forest

Indeed, if in any doubt and if your constituency isn't mentioned, Vote Conservative.





1 comment:

  1. Just use this: http://tacticalvoter.pythonanywhere.com
    Impartial advice on tactical voting with evidence And reason

    ReplyDelete