Showing posts with label SNP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SNP. Show all posts

Thursday, April 20, 2017

GE17 - And we're off!

Britain’s Prime Minister has fired the gun on a General Election.  The vote will occur on June 8th and presents the electorate with a stark choice – competence and clarity or chaos and calamity.
Let’s see if we can analyse some of the issues facing the UK, at this juncture.
The ‘elephant in the room’ of course is Brexit.  It speaks volumes that Labour want to make the election about taxing and taxing the ‘rich’ and borrowing and borrowing so that they can spend and spend money we don’t have, however, intelligent people know that Brexit is key.
And that key is all about trust.  Does Britain trust Theresa May to deliver a Brexit that is good for the UK or do they trust a makeshift coalition of Labour, the Lib-Dems, the SNP, Plaid Cymru and the Greens? 
Going into these critical Brexit negotiations, Britain needs a strong government with a clear mandate and Brexit policy.  Only the Conservatives offer this.
Consider, Labour doesn’t really know what its policy on Europe or Brexit is.  Prior to starting this article I tried to find out, where they stood.  I am still looking.  They are the party of mass immigration and failed multi-culturalism policies and so one can assume that they support ‘freedom of movement’ (FOM) and yet their position isn’t clearly stated but, simply supporting FOM without also accepting the other three ‘freedoms’, would not be acceptable to the EU. 
The Lib-Dems are rabidly pro-EU.  The media have continually allowed them to lie and lie, since the referendum.  They have repeatedly claimed that the British people weren’t told that voting Leave meant leaving the Single Market.  That’s simply not true.  We were told repeatedly – Cameron, Osborne et al – spoke on all media channels and made this crystal clear.  We knew and we voted the way we did, even though we knew.  Simply put, the UK doesn’t need the Single Market.  We will flourish outside of it.
The SNP are probably the most conflicted.  They are obsessed with Scottish independence.  Even to the extent that they want independence from the UK so that they can be subsumed into the EU super-state.  They have never explained how that equates in any way with a sane person’s concept of independence.  For the SNP, Brexit like Holyrood politics is all part of a game. They are serial mis-managers of the devolved powers for Scotland and now are very worried that Brexit will put a million watt spotlight on their ineptitude.
The Greens?  Well they look at countries like Germany where, through proportional representation (PR), Greens have differing degrees of parliamentary representation and sense that the EU offers them the best hope of the same in the UK.   Of course PR was rejected by the UK electorate, in a referendum but we all know that the Greens, and indeed the Lib-Dems are no respecters of referendum results.
Theresa May has laid out her twelve key Brexit issues in January’s Lancaster House speech. 
The first of these was Certainty and in some way, underpins her going to the country in spite of repeated assurances that she would not call a snap election.  I am often cynical about politicians – age and experience will do that to you – but I do believe that she has to go to the country and gain a mandate rather than be constantly sniped at and sabotaged by ‘Remainers’ and political opportunists from all sides.  I sincerely hope she is re-elected in June and has a sizable parliamentary majority with which to govern. 
To return for a moment to political gamers.  Theresa May has had to contend, on a constant basis with opposition politicians saying she had no ‘mandate’ with which to run the country or Britain’s Brexit negotiations.  They say that she ‘wasn’t elected’.  In part that’s true but then no Prime Minister is ‘elected’.  They are selected to lead the party with the largest parliamentary presence and then invited, by HM The Queen, to form a government.  All of them, exactly the same way.  Now though, that she is seeking such a clear mandate, she is castigated by these very same politicians, as being ‘opportunistic’.  See why I am sometimes cynical?
Inextricably linked with Brexit is the subject of immigration.  May, in her Lancaster House speech was clear on the need to control immigration.  And that is the nub – control of immigration.  Post-Brexit control of immigration will rest with the UK.  We will not be instructed, as some other EU partners have been, that there is a quota which we must take in.  The UK will allow immigration to meet our needs not to fulfil some lunacy that comes from the mind of a deranged German Chancellor or the fools in the EU headquarters.  The UK will control immigration.
Labour have always portrayed themselves as the protectors of the NHS and as being very pro-education.  Yet it is precisely Labour’s policy of uncontrolled immigration which has put such strains on the NHS. Leave aside for a moment, so called health tourism.  The numbers of immigrants that came in during Labour’s reign cannot be absorbed into a strained NHS – there simply are not enough hospitals, nurses and doctors.  Nor could we afford to have sufficient.  The same applies to schools – we cannot afford to build enough nor to train and employ sufficient teachers.  It is typically appropriate of Labour that their policies are never thought through.  They import millions of immigrants but fail to provide services like housing, health and schooling for them. 
And who suffers most?  Not the well-off or ‘middle-class’.  They don’t live in inner-cities.  They can send their children to private schools rather than over-crowded State ones. They can avail of private medicine rather than wait weeks or months for a GP or hospital appointment. No it is the traditional Labour voter that suffers – the White working class.  These voters see access to medical services as just about impossible, see their children crammed into classrooms alongside immigrant children who cannot even speak English and see their educational opportunities suffer as resources are diverted and they see scarce housing resources given to and funded for, immigrants rather than for native born people.  That’s Labour for you!
Another ‘elephant in the room’ seems to be whether or not Theresa May should/will participate in TV debates.  Firstly, these are an unwelcome American import that serve little to advance democracy or understanding of a political party’s policies.  The smaller parties, who have zero chance of gaining power, can simply make wild promises and score cheap shots off of the major ones.  Secondly, since the Scottish Nationalists and Plaid Cymru and Sinn Fein and the Ulster Unionists are not national parties why on earth would they participate? 
If I were Theresa May, I would recognise that with such a commanding opinion poll lead, I would have nothing to gain from participation and perhaps something to lose.  Just as importantly, I would continue to go over the heads of the overly self-important political correspondents and talk directly to the people.  Remember, my vote is as important as any of these jumped-up wanna-bes!

So I will jump the gun and offer some ideas, other than being strong on Brexit, for inclusion in the Conservative manifesto.
I will start with International Aid.  The 0.7% of GDP commitment should be scrapped.  I do believe that we should aspire to give this or even more but we must look after our own, first.  It sickens me (there’s that cynicism again) when I hear politicians talking about child poverty or fuel poverty in the UK and being somehow disgusted by food banks and yet the very same politicians are happy to send huge quantities of UK taxpayer money to oftentimes, corrupt regimes, elsewhere.  A saying that hasn’t gone out of date is ‘Charity begins at Home’.  Oh, and I view food banks as very positive.  These are set-up by British people, funded and supplied by British people and for the benefit of British people.  I know that this cuts out the busy-body charities with their over-paid executives but these food banks speak of the true and decent Britons that we all know.
Next, scrap H2S.  Britain simply doesn’t need this high speed rail system.  What we have is sufficient.  Instead, the government should spend a fraction of the money on dramatically improving broadband connectivity across the UK.  I am not especially ‘green’ but can certainly agree that we don’t need to be expending energy moving people around – we need people to stay put, when possible and to use technology not precious and finite fuels.
While I am in a ‘scrapping’ frame of mind.  Scrap the triple lock on pensions.  Instead, guarantee that State pensions will increase in line with an appropriate measure of inflation.
Controlling immigration will present challenges to certain industries.  These industries have benefited from cheap low waged immigrants.  These businesses have also been subsidised by the UK taxpayer who has provided Working Tax Credits and other Gordon Brown type wheezes which disguised the societal impact of a low wage economy.  Such benefits must be scrapped – not absorbed into the Universal Credit or anything like that, scrapped and the unemployed should have benefits withdrawn if they fail to take up available work.  Yes some will say that is harsh but why should some work to keep others who can work but choose not to?  People who say ‘I don’t want to pick potatoes’ or ‘I don’t want to serve coffees’ or ‘I don’t want to sweep the streets’.

Finally, EVEL!  English votes for English laws.  With the devolved assemblies in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, it is simply undemocratic that MPs from those countries can vote on matters that only affect the English.  In such cases, only MPs representing English constituencies should vote. 

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Sturgeon's false flag

I posted on this site, after the Scottish Independence Referendum and UK’s 2015 General Election that Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon should ‘wind her neck in’.  That she had a sense of her own and her country’s importance to the United Kingdom which is far in excess of reality. 

Before we go on, let’s just recap a few numbers. 

Scotland’s economy is less than 10% of the UK’s total.  Same applies to population and, given the last fact, the number of MPs that Scotland sends to Westminster.    The most telling fact though is that absent fiscal transfers from the rest of the UK – which really means from England – then Scotland would be running a deficit around 10% of GDP. 

A couple of other numbers.  Turnout in the Scottish Independence Referendum was 85% and the 2 million who voted for Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom represented 55% of the total.  The turnout in Scotland, for the EU Referendum was 67% and 1.66 million (62%) voted to Remain. 

In case you are feeling swamped with numbers, let me re-cap.  More people in Scotland could be bothered to vote in the IndyRef and the number of people voting to remain in the United Kingdom outnumbered those who voted to remain in the EU.

Somehow though, Sturgeon and her SNP fanatics think that they have a mandate to negotiate for Scotland to leave the United Kingdom and remain in the European Union.

I know!  Your head is now swimming. 

What kind of independence would Scotland have, tying itself into the European Union?

Where is the so-called mandate for ignoring the result of a United Kingdom-wide referendum? Last time I looked, there was a simple enough question on the EU Referendum ballot – Leave or Remain were the choices.  There was nothing about Leave , Remain or, if we don’t like the answer, we can break-up the United Kingdom. Zero.  Same question was asked and answered by more than 33.5 million people across the United Kingdom and the result was a resounding 52% in favour of Leave.  Oh and as a further point, Scotland had the lowest EU Referendum turnout among the regions of the United Kingdom.  Hardly a ringing endorsement for Scotland's membership of the EU.

This didn’t stop the ever pushy Sturgeon though.  Straightaway she is mouthing off about the probable/possible need for a new Scottish Independence Referendum (IndyRef 2).  You will note the slight hesitancy – I will come back to that. 

In the days immediately following the EU referendum, Sturgeon flew to Brussels and met with the leaders of some European countries.  Not all of them because many couldn’t fit her into their schedule – or couldn’t be bothered.  She came away from Brussels with something of a ‘flea in her ear’.  As could have been predicted before she even began the air-miles collecting trip, Spain stated that they would veto any application from Scotland, while Scotland remained part of the UK.  To say that she came away empty-handed is incorrect.  She was told, very, very clearly, that while Scotland remained a member of the United Kingdom, the EU would not even discuss Scottish membership of the EU.  Not even going to get on the agenda.

Couldn’t be clearer.  Of course, that doesn’t stop Sturgeon and her SNP StormTroopers from claiming that exit from the United Kingdom and entry into the European Union is a straightforward and realistic option. 

You must judge for yourself if these people are self-deluded fools or outright liars.

If you live in Scotland though, you might consider launching a claim, on behalf of the Scottish taxpayer, against Sturgeon for a gross waste of taxpayer funds and dereliction of duty.  If you are the UK Attorney-General, you might also consider charges.

Why?  Well.  Foreign affairs are not a devolved responsibility.  In other words, Sturgeon  had absolutely no business in going to Brussels at the expense of the Scottish parliament.  I would posit that in doing so, she was pursuing an exclusively political and solely SNP policy.  It is not the business of the Scottish Government to undertake any foreign negotiations.  I suppose a ‘blind eye’ was turned regarding the Edinburgh Zoo pandas but that is a long way from seeking to undermine the position of the United Kingdom, of which Scotland remains a constituent member.  Not sure if it would count as treasonous but imagine the situation if the UK actually was at war with the EU – would anyone tolerate Sturgeon’s opportunistic behaviour?

All of that aside, for a moment. 

There is another reason why Scotland wouldn’t be allowed to join the EU.  Their deficit, at around 10% of GDP, is way above the maximum 3% allowed by the EU.  In order to meet the requirements, Scotland would have to undertake massive cuts.  We’re not talking about austerity or austerity plus.  No, these cuts would be austerity on steroids at a dosage level that would make a Russian athlete blush.  Public sector employment in Scotland, accounts for 21% of the workforce.  Obviously that is where these cuts would be made.  One has to seriously question the capacity of the private sector, to accommodate or grow to do so, such an influx of workers.

Then, assuming that there is anything left of the economy, the Scots would, on joining the European Union have to join the Euro – assuming that failing and flailing currency is still around.  Think about that.  70% of all of Scotland’s export, excluding oil and gas, are sent to the rest of the United Kingdom.  If for no other reason, Scotland and its ‘gobby’ First Minister, should be fully behind the United Kingdom getting the best and lowest or tariff free trade terms as part of the renegotiations which will soon commence.  Scotland’s non-state economy will be subject to those tariffs, if Sturgeon gets her way,  and they will also have to trade, with their overwhelmingly largest market,  in a currency requiring foreign exchange.  

I believe that the issue of Scottish Independence is effectively dead.  The message maybe hasn’t got through to the SNP leadership  yet, but the Scottish people are not stupid.  Given the 2014 vote again, I am very confident they would vote to remain in the United Kingdom by an even larger margin.

I say the message maybe hasn’t got through to the SNP yet.  Really though, I think they do understand the position.  I believe that they are using the EU Referendum as a smokescreen or a so-called ‘false flag’ to hide their inadequacy and mis-management of those areas for which the Scottish parliament does have responsibility – Education, Health and Policing, for example.  In all three areas, the Holyrood parliament is failing and failing the people of Scotland, very badly.  The Scottish Oil & Gas industry is in dire straits and the Scottish parliament has no real policy to aid this vital industry.  Heavens! Even though fracking in Scotland, might provide some relief, the parliament has not made a decision on this and is seen to not support it.


So given the above, why am I so worked-up about this? 

Well it is because the government in Westminster is pandering to the SNP.  The SNP now think that they have a veto over Brexit.  They need to be told, very, very firmly, that while they, along with all other parties and other relevant constituencies in the United Kingdom, will be consulted, the decision will be made whether they agree with it or not.  Theresa May’s government, govern for the benefit of all of the United Kingdom and the UK, as a whole, voted for Brexit.  Theresa May has said ‘Brexit means Brexit’.  She has appointed a Cabinet to implement this and the so-called Brexit minister – David Davis –a well qualified minister,  is very capable individual and he should stick resolutely to his brief and get it done.

So, Theresa May.  Please use every opportunity to keep Nicola Sturgeon in her place.  Maybe also have a word with the Attorney General?

Nicola Sturgeon – do your job!  That means staying in Scotland and focussing on housing, education, policing, NHS Scotland and the oil and gas industry.  That is what you and your party were elected to do.  That and that’s all.